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Guinea: Alpha forges on

Guinea faces a defining year in 2020, with legislative elections and a controversial constitutional reform tabled for 1 March, as well as a high-stakes presidential election set for October. President Alpha Condé’s decision to pursue constitutional reforms, likely allowing him to stand for a third elected term will provide the central theme for the electoral cycle. In a country with a history of political instability, deep divisions in the political landscape will be fanned by the referendum controversy, triggering unrest, which could ultimately lead to a more far-reaching crisis.

Our Guinea scenarios seek to navigate the uncertainties underpinning the country’s political outlook. To read them, please Click here.

About the author: Daphne Piriou is a Consultant in Africa Practice’s Intelligence and Analysis team, specialising in Francophone Africa.

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