Kenya election scenarios and timelines

The 2017 Kenyan general elections take place next week but uncertainties remain around the likely scenarios and timelines for the polls. With high scope for a contested outcome prompting both legal petitions and political dialogue, there remain credible conditions under which it will take several weeks for a new government to take office and consolidate its position of authority.

In this note, we explore the most likely scenarios and timelines. These will primarily focus on: 

• a first-round victory (with or without a petition)

• a run-off second-round victory (with or without a petition)

• a highly-flawed election resulting in a prolonged political crisis or even an elections re-run.

Click here to read more: Kenya Election Watch August 2017

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